Tuesday, December 10, 2024

End of the Regular Season

Listen there isn't much time, if I am fittin' to pull off this upset in Round 1 of the playoffs - I can't be focusing on this blog. I have so many things to do: rosters to pour over, starting line-ups to tinker with, dumps to be taken, rosterbating, then more tinkering, then one final rosterbate and I am good for the week. You know how long that takes? Hours upon hours - I am bone dry by the time I am done. I have to make specialty hydration drinks for this week and the amount of batin' to be done. So let's just jump straight to what happened last week.

A) Predictions for the Week: 6-1
B) Mystery Guest predictions for the Week: 5-2
C) I am currently up 2 games on him.... but we will let it ride into the playoffs with a bracket prediction all the way through... something tells me a round 1 matchup will have large determination on the outcome of this prediction battle.

D) Ankle Holster moved into 1st place, earned his $20 back (I will hold onto in case some more needs added).
E) MAYEday and Heat Hicks squeak into the playoffs with big wins in the final week.
F) The J-Bones 2.0 lose the scoring title by 7 points and fail to make the playoffs.

Before we jump into the final playoff prediction portion of the post... let's give out some awards for the season....

Regular Season MVP: Ja'marr Chase, MAYEday
This is the first season in a while that I can remember this award being an extremely close race. It was essentially a two man battle between Chase and Barkley. Both players have explosion weeks and both players are top in their position. I personally love having a solid RB I can rely, but there is no denying the power of Chase. Barkley has scored 46 more fantasty points than the 2nd RB... which is ridiculous. However, Chase has scored 82 more points than the 2nd WR. For me, it is the separate that gives this one to Chase.

Steal of the Draft: Brock Bowers, Connor's Stallions
For those keeping track, he was drafted in round 9 - as the 118th pick! He is ranked as the 15th best non-QB. Let's be real, the Raid-ahs suck and that helps Bowers score so many fantasy points - but does that really matter? Everyone is looking for a solid TE that they can rely on and not have to worrying and in a year when Kelce/Laporta/Andrews have started to fade away - finding this gem was a definite diamond in the rough!

Swing of the Season: Heat Hicks traded DJ Moore for Puka Nacua (MAYEday)
Now for true stat purposes, DJ Moore is ranked 14th and Puka is ranked 27th. However, the trade was made during Puka's injury portion of the season and he is now averaging 5 more points than DJ. Some people think, this doesn't sound like a lot - but you really compare the last 5 weeks the separation gets larger. Puka has outscore DJ 4 out of the last 5 weeks and is averaging 11 points more (thanks to his final week outburst). Not to say that DJ is no slouch, but Puka is looking like a top 5 fantasy WR at the moment.

Team Free Agency: Tyrone Tracy Jr., Cleveland Streamers
Let's be honest, I am not searching through every single waive wire pickup... didn't you see how much batin' I had to do? However, in a league where RB's are few and far between Streamers found this guy... who has quietly put together a decent season for struggling Giants team. If you remove the first four weeks (Giants didn't realize how good he was), he is averaging top 20 RB numbers. Anybody in this league would take that... and I mean anybody.

Team to Beat: Heat Hicks
Call it a homer pick, call blog bias... I call it, "Come F*ckin Get it!" If you want stats to prove it, Heat Hicks is projected the most points in week 1, they have decent matchups in week 2, and they welcome back JK Dobbins in the championship week. If you want me to pick a team not named Eat a Bag of Dicks... I look forward to seeing Connor's Stallions in the championship!

Alright, have it - let's hear the complaints!

Now on to the bracket predictions...

Fantasy Guru Bracket
Round 1
8. Heat Hicks v 1. Ankle Holster
Prediction: Heat Hicks

5. The J-Bones v 4. Cleveland Streamers
Prediction: Cleveland Streamers

6. Cocaine Cowboys v 3. Ertz when Eifert
Prediction: Cocaine Cowboys

7. MAYEday v 2. Connor's Stallions
Prediction: Connor's Stallions

Round 2
8. Heat Hicks v 4. Cleveland Streamers
Prediction: Heat Hicks

6. Cocaine Cowboys v 2. Connor's Stallions
Prediction: Connor's Stallions

Championship
8. Heat Hicks v 2. Connor's Stallions

Mystery Guest Bracket
Round 1
8. Heat Hicks v 1. Ankle Holster
Prediction: Ankle Holster

5. The J-Bones v 4. Cleveland Streamers
Prediction: Cleveland Streamers

6. Cocaine Cowboys v 3. Ertz when Eifert
Prediction: Cocaine Cowboys

7. MAYEday v 2. Connor's Stallions
Prediction: MAYEday

Round 2
4. Cleveland Streamers v 1. Ankle Holster
Prediction: Ankle Holster

7. MAYEday v 6. Cocaine Cowboys
Prediction: MAYEday

Championship Round
7. MAYEday v 1. Ankle Holster
Prediction: Ankle Holster

As always, it has been a great season - one for the books... try not to watch too much WNBA!

With Love
Commish

Thursday, December 5, 2024

Week 13 Results/Final Week Predicktions

What a penultimate week this was... you would think that things would be crystal clear and we would know who needs what at this point. NOPE. Instead, we are have a jumbled mess right in the middle of the league... it is like when you get ghost pooped. You feel like you got to take a dump and you think you have a nice understanding about what disastrous scene is getting ready to happen. Nope, out of nowhere - it is just a fart.... we just got farted this week. Here is what happened this week...

Matchup of the Week
Connor's Stallions (8-5) v Ertz when Eifert (10-3)

Predicktion: Connor's Stallions... RIGHT!!
Mystery Guest: Connor's Stallions... RIGHT!!

Who didn't see this coming... at this rate, you want to squeak in and play Ertz early in the playoff with a chance to pull off the upset.

Heat Hicks (6-7) v The J-Bones 2.0 (6-7)

Predicktion: Heat Hicks... RIGHT!!
Mystery Guest: The J-Bones 2.0... WRONG!!

This is one of those matchups that only tightened the middle of the pack, the breakdown will be provided further down the blog.

MAYEday (6-7) v Bootay Pirates (3-10)

Predicktion: MAYEday... RIGHT!!
Mystery Guest: MAYEday... RIGHT!!

This was another matchup that we saw coming and it added another team in the mix. MAYEday is right there, obviously Bootay Pirates is out of it and it was a good run and Bootay has made it a great career.

Ankle Holster (9-4) v PEN15 Wrinkle (4-9)

Predicktion: Ankle Holster... RIGHT!!
Mystery Guest: Ankle Holster... RIGHT!!

Ankle Holster is fighting for seeds... already made the playoffs, most likely going to end up the 1st or 3rd seed - but there is a scenario they finish lower. PEN15 is now eliminated!

Love Hurts (6-7) v Pendulous TD's (6-7)

Predicktion: Pendulous TD's... RIGHT!!
Mystery Guest: Love Hurts... WRONG!!

This was a key matchup for mixing things up in the middle... these teams now represent the 4th and 5th team tied at 6-7.

ARBL (4-9) v Cocaine Cowboys (8-5)

Predicktion: Cocaine Cowboys... RIGHT!!
Mystery Guest: Cocaine Cowboys... RIGHT!!

Holy Jerry Jeudy!! The Browns may lose a lot of games, but at least their offense attempts to score points with Winston at QB. 

The J-Bones (7-6) v Cleveland Streamers (8-5)

Predicktion: The J-Bones... WRONG!!
Mystery Guest: The J-Bones... WRONG!!

Well, I got the Bucky Irving part right... but I didn't see a outburst from Evans/McBride/Dowdle coming... woof.

Season Predictions: 45-39
Mystery Guest: 44-40

Well, well, well.... would you look at that - someone is back on top!


Now if you skipped the pleasantries and jumped to the predictions portion, you have come to the right spot. But first let's look at what we don't know and what we do know...

Playoff Bound
Ertz when Eifert
Ankle Holster
Connor's Stallions
Cocaine Cowboys
Cleveland Streamers

Still Fighting
The J-Bones
The J-Bones 2.0
Heat Hicks
Love Hurts
MAYEday
Pendulous TD's

Eliminated
ARBL
Bootay Pirates
PEN15 Wrinkle

Somethings to note....

A) There has been discussion of the disparity of the divisions. One division has 4 teams that already in the playoffs and have a record of 8-5 or better. However, if you look at points scored... the top three spots are in the other division - seems like things are actually pretty even.

B) 5 of the 6 teams in the hunt are sitting at the same record... which means you need to win to even have a chance of getting into the playoffs. However, none of those 5 teams actually play each other in the final "Rivalry" week - so it could get really crazy.

Matchup of the Week
Connor's Stallions (8-5) v Cleveland Streamers (8-5)

Rivals: These two have been the most recent winners of the league. Connor's Stallions won it last year and Cleveland Streamers won it the year before.
Stallions Fighting For: 2nd seed... a win locks up the 2nd seed in the playoffs. A loss and they could drop down in seeding, but they are still in the playoffs.
Streamers Fighting For: A possible 3rd seed.... they are already in, they can't get the 2nd seed (1st and 2nd seed reserved for the winners of the divisions). However, they could catch Ankle Holster with a win and outscoring them by 30 points... other than that, they are in the playoffs.

Predicktion: Cleveland Streamers
Mystery Guest: Connor's Stallions

PEN15 Wrinkle (4-9) v Heat Hicks (6-7)

Rivals: If you have tracked the beef between these two owners... or just walked the halls and heard the yelling - you know. One doesn't show up to the draft then complains about his team... one stands up for what is true and righteous and tries to shut him up. Then the complaints about the blog... just plenty of hostility to go around.
Wrinkle Fighting For: They are eliminated... but wouldn't it be fun to eliminate your rival at the same time? Who doesn't want to see that?
Hicks Fighting For: Win and they have a chance at getting in... they are currently sitting just outside the bubble, but if 3 of the teams tied at 6-7 lose and Heat Hicks wins... they are in for sure. There is also the points scored tie-breaker which could break someone's heart.

Predicktion: Heat Hicks
Mystery Guest: Heat Hicks

Pendulous TD's (6-7) v Cocaine Cowboys (8-5)

Rivals: Some might call it the battle of the halls... there are 3 teams from the same location and one has been called out from the beginning of the season. Which leaves these two to battle for the MS Hallways... not too mention something hefty on the line for the Titty Man.
TD's Fighting For: Playoffs... same boat as Heat Hicks... Step 1: Win... Step 2: See if other 6-7 teams lose... Step 3: Score enough points to win tie-breakers if enough teams don't lose.
Cowboys Fighting For: Nothing but pride. Technically they could move up a seed, but they will end up finishing between 4-6 and be comfortably in the playoffs.

Predicktion: Pendulous TD's
Mystery Guest: Pendulous TD's

Ankle Holster (9-4) v Love Hurts (6-7)

Rivals: Nothing better than a brothers quarrel... In the previous matchup the big brother got the better end of the battle... how does that saying go? Something a house divided.
Holster Fighting For: 1st seed... if they win and Ertz loses, Holster should get the first seed... after that they could drop as low as 5... but will most likely finish 3rd.
Hurts Fighting For: Playoffs... Love Hurts is apart of that 5 team scramble to make 2 spots... the issue lies in the fact that they are very low on the tie-breaker totem pole. They need to win and have 3 other 6-7 teams lose in order to make it.

Predicktion: Ankle Holster
Mystery Guest: Ankle Holster

Ertz when Eifert (10-3) v ARBL (4-9)

Rivals: The two newest members to join the league... both are on opposite ends of the league, but it would be a little sweet revenge to finish off the season with a win and letting the battle of the newbies be squared up for ARBL.
Ertz Fighting For: 1st seed... top dawg in the regular season get's their buy-in back... which means this is a big week. A win here solidifies the 1st seed... a loss and they could drop as low as 3rd - nothing lower.
ARBL Fighting For: Pride... eliminated from the playoffs... but do you really want to go out like a punk b*tch? No? Then beat the supposed top team in the league and send a message for next year.

Predicktion: ARBL
Mystery Guest: ARBL

MAYEday (6-7) v Bootay Pirates (3-10)

Rivals: There seems to be a certain damsel that these two are fighting over... she tends to confide in both... one is her mentor and one is her long-time friend - who will the battle? If anything, maybe she will pull your name for 1st pick next year, eh, eh?
MAYE Fighting For: Playoff hunt... currently sitting at 8th... but that by way of the tie-breaker with 12 more points scored than Heat Hicks. Easiest way is to win and win with lots of points. It could come down to a tie-breaker if a few 6-7 teams win... need points.
Pirates Fighting For: Who knows? And don't ask him either, he will just yell at you for caring or for asking anything about anything. And definitely don't ask him about polygenital genes.

Predicktion: MAYEday
Mystery Guest: MAYEday

The J-Bones (7-6) v The J-Bones 2.0 (6-7)

Rivals: If you actually came to the draft, you know why. The whole reason behind the team names. The logo change. One team has taken multiples players from the other team and thus attempted to recreate the success. The only way to prove it... win.
JB Fighting For: Playoffs... win and you are in... simple as that. Lose and you enter the muddled mess that is right behind you. Most likely you are in... with a large lead in the tie-breaker department... but let's just win.
JB 2.0 Fighting For: Playoffs... it is wild the current 2nd leading scorer in the league has a scenario where they don't get in. If they lose and 3 other 6-7 teams win... they are out. Imagine this, they lose by less than 4 points... both teams score a ton of points... they finish the league 1st in points scored... and not in the playoffs... wild.

Predicktion: The J-Bones 2.0
Mystery Guest: The J-Bones 2.0

Be on the lookout for the final season wrap-up with awards and playoffs predicktions next week.

As always, I wish everyone good luck - except for you, PEN15 Wrinkle - may your entire lineup be forced to watch an entire WNBA game filled with layups, dribbling, passing and more layups.

With Love
Commish