Wednesday, December 7, 2022

Week 14 Predictions

No farting around here... we are getting straight to the matchups that matter and what is at stake...

Matchup of the Week
Hoosier Daddy**** (9-4) v OBJs in the Stands** (6-7)


There are much more enticing matchups - but Hoosier Daddy has won the belt 3 times in a row and to be fairly honest, they could do it a 4th. At some point, we need to recognize the utter dominance that Hoosier is putting on.

Scenarios:

Hoosier Wins: Seals the deal for the 1 seed and all its glory. 
Hoosier Loss: Could still win the 1 seed if Watson's Happy Ending loses, if Hoosier loses and Watson loses then Hoosier would drop down to the 3rd seed
OBJs Loss: Out of the playoffs
OBJs Wins: Should make the playoffs based on any kind of tie-breaker, if Gruden/ETN/JBones/Dreamer all lose - OBJ could move up to the 2nd seed.

Prediction: Hoosier Daddy
Mystery Guest: Hoosier Daddy

The Cochness Monsters (6-7) v PEN15 Wrinkle (4-9)


TCM needs a win and it wouldn't be any more poetic than for PEN15 to knock them out of the playoffs. After years and years of ridicule - this would be some kind of justice for the Wrinkle.

TCM Wins: Would be thrusted in a probable tie-breaker with teams and will need to win the tie-breaker. Essentially, needs to win and score more points multiple teams - best chances are Dreamer and ETN losing.
TCM Loss: Cya, goodbye, Hasta-Lasagna Don't Get Any On Ya!

Prediction: The Cochness Monsters
Mystery Guest: The Cochness Monsters

Nothing matters for PEN15 - they are already out of the running.

Side Set TDs (8-5) v Ayahuasca Dreamer (7-6)


This is a much bigger matchup for Dreamer than it is for Titties. Titties is already in the playoffs and can not be removed - they also can't really move up... they could be past, but there is a high chance that they will end up in the 5/4 matchup. Dreamer needs to win to clear themselves from any type of tie-breaker.

Titties Wins: They will stay put in the 4th seed.
Titties Loses: They will stay put in the 4th seed or drop to the 5th/6th seed - most likely scenario is that they stay in the 4/5 matchup.
Dreamer Wins: They will get to 8 wins and should stay clear of the inevitable clusterf*ck that is going to happen at 7-7.
Dreamer Loses: They will wind up in the mess of teams that are tied for the final few spots... and they don't have a good chance at winning most tie-breakers.

Prediction: Side Set TDs
Mystery Guest: Side Set TDs

Watson's Happy Ending** (9-4) v The J-Bones (7-6)


Things could not be looking better for The J-Bones... I mean they could be playing a different team, but at least Watson doesn't have Jackson at QB anymore. This matchup does represent the most enticing matchup and would make for a great MotW if there wasn't a team that was going crazy and scoring tons of points. 

Happy Ending Wins: They get the 1 seed if Hoosier loses, they stay as the 3 seed with a win and Hoosier winning.
Happy Ending Loses: Most likely will still finish as the 3 seed - we are talking like 95% chance to stay as the 3 seed.
J-Bones Wins: Will get the 2 seed for winning his division... unless Gruden wins and scores 90 points more than J-Bones.
J-Bones Loses: Should still make the playoffs... with a tie-breaker - they are 90 points than anyone else. The only way they don't make the playoffs is if they lose all other current 7-6 teams win and somehow two other 6-7 teams win and beat them in a tie-breaker.

Prediction: The J-Bones
Mystery Guest: The J-Bones

Bluffton Backup Backups (6-7) v Aaron Rodgers Blows Llams (6-7)


This is a matchup between two teams that need to win to stay alive, lose and you are definitely out of the playoffs. Win and you get a chance - not definitely in... but you still get a chance.

Either team Loses: Out of the playoffs...
BBB Wins: Need a lot of luck, not likely to get in - they need to beat a lot of teams with a tie-breaker... which they are losing by a lot.
ARBL Wins: They need multiples teams to lose and they need to outscore those teams by 30+ points - best chance is Dreamer/TCM/ETN lose and they outscore TCM/ETN by 20 points.

Prediction: Aaron Rodgers Blows Llams
Mystery Guest: Aaron Rodgers Blows Llams

Ankle Holster (3-10) v ETN out your Grandma** (7-6)


Wellllll, Holster is probably the worst team in the league, buuuuuut ETN has Taylor on the bye this week. Things could get really interesting with ETN.

Holster can't do anything Win or Lose
ETN Wins: They are in the playoffs - all that matters is that they make it to the show... but if the rest of the 7-6 teams in their division lose, they could end up with the 2nd seed.
ETN Loses: They fall into the tie-breaker and as it stands right now - they are losing to OBJ/NBR and they are 2 points ahead of TCM.... they need to win.

Prediction: Ankle Holster
Mystery Guest: Ankle Holster

Not Big Red (6-7) v Gruden Email Editor* (7-6)


This is also a very enticing matchup in terms of determining who will make the playoffs and who will not. There is seeding implications and making the playoff implications - essentially there is everything you could ever want in a final week matchup... right here.... for free

NBR Wins: They move into the tie-breaker at 7-7, which they hold a lead over some of teams and things get pretty interesting.
NBR Loses: They are out of the playoffs - it is going to take at least 7 wins to get in, there is even a scenario where only one 7-7 team gets in.
Email Wins: They are in the playoffs and they would essentially find themselves in the 4/5 matchup, unless they outscore The J-Bones by 90 points.
Email Loses: They drop to the 7-7 mess and find themselves in a tie-breaker... which they currently hold a 30+ point lead over a majority of the teams.

Prediction: Gruden Email Editor
Mystery Guest: Not Big Red

As always, I wish everyone good luck - except for you PEN15 Wrinkle, may your entire team burn in a fiery helicopter crash eerily similar to the one that took down Kobe!

With Love
Commish


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