Wednesday, November 2, 2022

Week 9 Predictions

We are getting close to the final stretch of the season. It is becoming crunch-time - every week becomes that much more important to teams that are fighting to get into the playoffs. There are currently 6 weeks left and ESPN has already thrown out their playoff predictions. It is a little too early for me... but be on the look out for that in the upcoming weeks. More importantly, I wanted to point out the fact that ESPN thinks that PEN15 Wrinkle and Ankle Holster each have less than 10% chance of making the playoffs. Let me be the first to tell you... all you need is a chance.

In each of the last 3 seasons we have had a team that started off in the bottom 3 playoff chances sneak into the playoffs. In the year before that a team started off with the 4th best chance to NOT make the playoffs... yet they snuck into the playoffs and they eventually won the whole damn thing. It is much like when you wind up in bed with a solid 3, clearly not your best night slanging that d-piece around. However, you look to your other side and then you see another solid 3, your 10% just got exponentially hotter. When you are locking horns with two 3's it doesn't equal 6... it is exponential. Much like when you are sitting at the bottom of the league with a 10% chance, when you get one more win it doesn't just double - it gets exponentially higher. See GM's you just need to lock horns with a couple slump busters at the same time and you will make the playoffs.

It's science.


Matchup of the Week
Bluffton Backup Backups (4-4) v OBJs in the Stands** (4-4)


As it stands, there is a clear separation of groups forming: Playoff Bound and Couch Surfing. A loss in this matchup would really hurt the chances of either team to make the playoffs - in 3 of the past 4 years the teams that made the playoffs had no more than 6 losses. However, that was before the added game - which does give either team a little buffer room. That still makes this week a very big week for both of these teams sitting at .500 - especially for a team that holds 2 belt wins. This is a must win for OBJs, one that should easily be attained. Allen and Davis get the Jets, Kamara is becoming the primary playmaker, and Metcalf and the Seattle offense is surprising everyone. In a week that OBJ really needs a win, this should be it...

Prediction: OBJs in the Stands
Mystery Guest: OBJs in the Stands

Hoosier Daddy?* (5-3) v The Cochness Monsters (3-5)


This is a huge week for TCM - one that they really needed their big-time playmaker (CMC) who is on bye. Hoosier comes into this matchup with the first half MVP (Kelce), a phenomenal QB (Hurts), and arguably one a top-3 WR (Jefferson). They just lack any kind of substantial output at the RB position. Even with CMC on the bye, TCM could have the two best RB scores in this matchup and still lose. It is going to take a big week from Herbert, and a couple pass catchers to keep this close. Hoosier Daddy should get this win, but what can I say... I am biased....

Prediction: The Cochness Monsters
Mystery Guest: The Cochness Monsters

Side Set TD's (5-3) v The J-Bones (4-4)


If you were forced to play The J-Bones, this is the two-week stretch that you would want to play them. Last week, Ekeler was on the bye and this week Barkley is on the bye. After this week, J-Bones will feature two running backs that are both in the top 5 scoring for the rest of the season. If they can get any kind of help from the receivers, this team could make a run. On the flip side, Titties is hoping that Carr and Adams can have a better performance against Jacksonville than they did against New Orleans. Jacksonville gave up 21 points to Denver... who is terrible!! I am betting that Carr and Adam make it a point to have a big... but it still won't be enough.

Prediction: The J-Bones
Mystery Guest: The J-Bones

Watson's Happy Ending* (6-2) v Aaron Rodgers Blows Llams (3-5)


If you actually read the blog, then you know who I am picking. Happy has the best team in the league. ARBL is missing their starting QB and their top RB. This spells disaster. Let's keep it simple and sweet....

Prediction: Watson's Happy Ending
Mystery Guest: Watson's Happy Ending

PEN15 Wrinkle (2-6) v ETN out your Grandma (4-4)


Once again, if you read this blog then you know that PEN15 is the worst team in the league. On top of being the worst team they also lose Najee Harris to the bye. At least this week they welcome back Mahomes and Hardman - but I don't think it will be enough to overcome ETN. Taylor has a new OC that should just continually hand the ball off and this could be a big week for Taylor. Truthfully, ETN doesn't need a huge week - save for energy for warming up the G-Ma and take the easy win.

Prediction: ETN out your Grandma
Mystery Guest: ETN out your Grandma

Ankle Holster (2-6) v Gruden Email Editor (5-3)


If PEN15 is the worst team, then Ankle Holster is not far behind. The real issue - when you look at the roster... they really aren't that bad. Mostert and Jones make a decent combo at RB, Lockett/Doubs/Boyd are decent WRs. This issue is that there is nothing that is superb - which is a problem in fantasy football. On the flip side, the emergence of Hopkins and Walker has made Email a very tough squad. Look for Email to overpower Holster with their starpower.

Prediction: Gruden Email Editor
Mystery Guest: Ankle Holster

Ayahuasca Dreamer (5-3) v Not Big Red (4-4)


Somehow, someway Dreamer just keeps winning. I have yet to pick Dreamer to win. Have I learned my lesson? You betcha. Dreamer has a legit team and will be looking to keep pace with the other teams at the top of the league. With Jacksonville trading away Robinson it is the Etienne show... which gives Dreamer two legit running backs. Diggs has been a top wide receiver and McLaurin is finally starting to flourish. NBR is going to need a top week to simply keep up - however, it just doesn't look good for a team that needs a win to stay above .500.

Prediction: Ayahuasca Dreamer
Mystery Guest: Not Big Red

As always, I wish everyone good luck - except for you Hoosier Daddy, may your entire team burn in a fiery helicopter crash eerily similar to the one that took down Kobe! 

With Love
Commish

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