And we are here... 4 weeks to go to the end of the regular season. There is still not a team eliminated in the race - but the race is getting clearer....
Most Likely In
Njigbas in Paris
PEN15 Wrinkle
East/West TD's
Aaron Rodgers Blows Llams
No Time for Love
These teams should make the playoffs - but it is not a for sure thing yet. It looks like 8 wins will for sure lock up a spot and NIP and Wrinkle are one win away from that. The other teams in this grouping are two wins away and will have plenty of opportunity to lock up that win with some matchups against teams that they should win.
Muddied Middle
The J-Bones
Ertz when Eifert
Insert Team Name Here
I Miss TB12
If 8 wins for sure get you in the playoffs - 7 wins will probably slip into the playoffs. There are 8 teams to make the playoffs, if we assume that the "Most Likely In" group are all going to make the playoffs, that leaves 3 spots left for other teams to fill-in. This group has 4 teams... 4 is bigger than 3... that means one team is a pretender. If I had to guess, it might be The J-Bones who still have matchups with East/West TD's and PEN15 Wrinkle. That makes this week that much more important... when two of these teams face-off.
The Light is getting Darker
Handy Rudgins
Ankle Holster
I Hate Chad G
Hoosier Daddy
Gluten Douches
This group is all looking like it is going to be a struggle to make it... but there is always that one team that makes a run. The last place team only has 2 wins and there are 4 weeks left... which means there is a rare scenario where 6 wins gets into the playoffs. Let's remove that scenario.... 7 wins is what it is going to take. If I had to bet on a team to make a run and squeak into the playoffs - it would be Handy Rudgins. They are getting better as the season goes along... they also have a propensity for making deep runs if they make the playoffs.
Matchup of the Week
The J-Bones** (5-5) v Insert Team Name Here (5-5)
QB: Murray v Herbert
Edge: Herbert
Reasoning: Murray plays for Arizona and to be completely honest... I have never trusted anything from Arizona. I met this one girl in college from Tucson - she broke my heart into a million pieces and never put it back together. For that reason, I am taking Herbert - who is also playing Green Bay and they have forgotten how to play football in the beer drinking state.
RB: Mixon/Etienne v Pollard/Conner
Edge: Mixon/Etienne
Reasoning: Conner plays in Arizona and to be completely honest... I have never trusted anything from Arizona. I met this one girl in college from Phoenix - she broke my heart into a million pieces and never put it back together. For that reason, I am taking Etienne and Mixon - who are both top 20 running backs and Etienne is a top 3 running back.
WR: Smith/Cooper v Godwin/McLaurin
Edge: Smith/Cooper
Reasoning: Smith has a good matchup against Kansas City... even though he isn't the number one receiver in Philly. Kansas City have given up big plays through the air and Smith is the big play receiver. On the flip side, Godwin plays against San Fransisco and they completely shut down Jacksonville's air attack last week. Also, in Washington - Howell is throwing the ball all over the field, except to McLaurin.
TE: Kincaid v Kmet
Edge: Kincaid
Reasoning: Kincaid has become an emerging weapon in Buffalo and he is looking like a young Gronk/Kelce. He runs well and he finds the open space - Allen looks his way often and Kincaid could easily finish as a top 5 TE by the end of the season. New York has a good defense.... on the outside. That leaves Kincaid free to work in the middle... Buffalo has struggled, but Kincaid has performed.
FLEX: Mostert v Foreman
Edge: Foreman
Reasoning: Detroit is playing some high quality football... on the offensive side. Foreman is lined up for a good week against Detroit. Mostert has Achane returning back to the lineup and they could be facing a running back split.
DEF/K: Detroit/Sanders v Dallas/Bass
Edge: Cowboys/Bass
Reasoning: If you have paid attention to the NFL, the Dallas Cowboys are the hottest team in the league right now. Their offense is flying all around defenses and it frees up their defense to really turn up the heat. Dallas is also matching up against Carolina - and Bryce Young has struggled all year. I would not be shocked to see Dallas score more than 15 points this week.
Prediction: The J-Bones
Mystery Guest: The J-Bones
Ertz when Eifert (5-5) v Gluten Douches (2-8)
Yeahhhhh..... there is no real reason for this prediction. It is going to take a huge week from Ekeler and something magical from Adams. It is not looking good for the must win Douches. On the flip side, Hill/Kittle/Robinson all have a comfy matchup this week and most likely they will continue their superior play. Things are not looking good and at this point I need to hedge my bets with trying to actually win the predictions play (which isn't going well either).
Prediction: Ertz when Eifert
Mystery Guest: Ertz when Eifert
Hoosier Daddy (4-6) v No Time for Love (6-4)
Somehow, Josh Allen is still the number rated QB. He has struggled and now he plays the Jets - who are really good on the defensive side of the ball. However, there are two players on Hoosier Daddy that I am just not sold on. Ty Chandler and Jordan Addison. I know, I know, Dobbs had a good first game with Minnesota. You know who else had a good first game? Zach Wilson. Look at that man now. Kelce and Aiyuk present too much upside. This team is seriously good, they have Kamara (bye week) that can fill in for Dowdle.
Prediction: No Time for Love
Mystery Guest: No Time for Love
East/West TD's** (6-4) v Aaron Rodgers Blows Llams* (6-4)
If the MotW wasn't between two teams that desperately need this win, this would be the MotW. Both of these teams are in the top grouping in the league and will most likely make the playoffs. This win would bring them one win closer to clinching a spot. Titties has been struggling, but I just don't know what to expect with half of ARBL's team coming off the IR. They might ball out and they might have a little rust. At this point, the only safe play is to take Titties - handfuls of 'em.
Prediction: East/West TD's
Mystery Guest: Aaron Rodgers Blows Llams
I Miss TB12 (5-5) v Handy Rudgins (4-6)
My pick for the team to emerge out of the bottom group and find a way to make the playoffs.... Handy Rudgins. It all starts this week, with the hot play of Burrow and Chase. Think about this, Cincy lost last week and Burrow and Chase still combined for 43.2 points. Not too shabby. Let's also mention, Mahomes and the Kansas City offense has been a little shaky. Now they have the Super Bowl rematch with Philly - I am not sure I trust the KC offense. They have been jinxed by all the Swifties!
Prediction: Handy Rudgins
Mystery Guest: Handy Rudgins
Ankle Holster (4-6) v I Hate Chad G (4-6)
I am going to be completely honest.... I know that Ankle Holster is picking himself. If I want any chance to beat him in predictions - I need I Hate Chad G to come out with the win this week. It really doesn't look good as of this writing, with Green Bay getting to play the LAC defense (who don't really play defense in the first place). It is crazy to look at Holster's roster and think that they have every player inside the top 30 at their position and every player but two inside the top 20 and yet they are 5-5. Come on Team Hatred, we need a win!!!
Prediction: I Hate Chad G
Mystery Guest: Ankle Holster
PEN15 Wrinkle* (7-3) v Njigbas in Paris*** (7-3)
I will admit... somehow I missed this matchup. This should easily be the MotW. This is a battle between the two teams in the lead of each division and arguably two of the top 3 teams. I sincerely apologize to both managers.... this is a mistake on my part. Aside from that, Njigbas has every player inside the top 10 at their position (outside of Jaylen Warren). On the flip side, the Dallas Cowboys have been hot!!! They face-off against Carolina... not a good team. Can the stack of Prescott/Lamb keep up with the consistency of my favorite french shadows? Nah, baby, nah.
Prediction: Njigbas in Paris
Mystery Guest: Njigbas in Paris
As always... good luck to everyone... except for you, Ertz when Eifert, may your entire roster turn into a body double and forget how to play football - eerily similar to the fate of Demar Hamlin.
With Love
Commish
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