Thursday, October 12, 2017

What's in a trade?

Sooooo, I have finally returned to my ways and was able to swing 3 trades in one week. Let's break down the trades that were made this week (about time):

Trade 1:
I trade - "Buck" Allen and Jacquizz Rodgers
I receive - Carlos Hyde and Mike Wallace

Breakdown....
Buck Allen is essentially the running back to have in Baltimore. He is most definitely the passing down back and he splits running touches with Alex Collins. Which means he is playing 75%-85% (assuming Baltimore will be losing most games and be in more passing situations) of the snaps - he is the guy. Jacquizz Rodgers is an interesting handcuff, at best. The often injured Doug Martin has probably taken over the reigns in Tampa - but if he gets injured, Rodgers becomes the man in Tampa. Please don't come at me with that Sims crap - he sucks!!

Carlos Hyde looked great for the first few weeks of the season and had a pretty awful week. Now, that awful week was against Indianapolis - which makes it even worse! Also, Breida out-snapped and out-touched Hyde. Shannahan (49ers coach) said he was just going with the hot-hand, but Hyde is probably one of the most injured backs in the league. Is he still worth trading Buck Allen? Maybe, Hyde's ceiling is much higher - but he also has the risk of bottoming out. Mike Wallace is where this trade was over the top for me. Wallace has been the number 1 receiver in Baltimore the past two weeks. Yes, he is a big play receiver and is dependent on the deep ball. However, Flacco is a gunslinger - and he wants to throw the deep ball. Wallace might be in line for multiple targets over 20 yards every game for the rest of the season.

Overall, I think Wallace was the big win in this trade. Allen and Hyde are both good options - one is just a little riskier with a higher ceiling (Hyde) and one will be more consistent and steady (Allen). However, Hyde does have the "big name appeal" and the previous big game performances. Those two things can be extremely deadly when someone is looking to continue to trade - which brings me to my next trade.....

Trade 2:
I trade - Carlos Hyde, Delanie Walker, Doug Baldwin, Jaguars DEF
I receive - Le'Veon Bell

Breakdown...
To me and a couple others, this trade is pretty fair. To a few others in my league this is a completely unfair trade. Some would say Bell is a player that you can never trade and you completely took advantage of him. I would respond with this question: is any one player worth improving three different positions? Yes, Bell is a once in a season player - the top pick in most drafts - but is he worth improving in three, read it THREE starting positions? 

Walker is currently a top 7 tight end and the remaining teams he has on his schedule: Indianapolis (2 times), Cleveland, Houston (banged up defense), Cincinnati, and San Francisco. Walker is just now entering the part of his schedule where he begins to excel. To me, this was one of the biggest losses I had to make. 

Doug Baldwin is a player that always comes around and he will begin to make big plays. He is the number 1 receiver on a team with Russell Wilson at quarterback - those two are too good to not figure it out! In fact, I originally offered T.Y. Hilton - but TPIAD (the team I traded with) wanted Baldwin instead. I completely understand his thinking as well, would you rather have Wilson or Brissett throwing the ball to your receiver?

Jaguars DEF is the number 1 defense... by almost 20 points. So far this season they have scored over 25 points (both times were away from home), 4 out of 5 times they scored over 10 points. This is the type of defense that you will not have to worry about taking out and replacing week to week. They also have the chance of being on of the top scorers of every position on weekly basis. To have a defense like that is undeniably one of the best security blankets.

Now, Le'Veon Bell is clearly the prize of this trade. Bell is arguably the number player in fantasy football. He is a running back that is demanding the pay of an elite running back and an elite receiver. To have someone like Bell at running back in a 14 team league is something that could potentially win you the league. Yes, Hyde is good and this entire trade really comes down to the comparison of Hyde v Bell. If Hyde is anything close to the running back he was in the first few weeks TPIAD most definitely won this trade. If Hyde is more like the player he was last week - then I won this trade. Hyde is the key to this trade.

Overall, this trade is extremely similar to a trade that happen this summer in the NBA. The Cavs traded Kyrie Irving for a slew of good players/assets. Irving was clearly the best player in the trade, but the Cavs also improved in other areas in their lineup. Is Irving someone that can go out and win you games all by himself? Yes. And just like the fantasy trade - both Thomas and Hyde could possibly be dealing with a hip injury, coincidence? But, if Isaiah Thomas plays well, the Cavs may have even won this trade (just like the fantasy trade). 

Trade 3....
I trade - Matt Breida
I receive - Hunter Henry

To be honest, this trade was made purely out of necessity. After trading Delanie Walker I was in the market for a tight end. I was looking at the free agents when this trade was proposed to me. I had just picked up Breida off the waiver wire that morning and clearly this team was trying to do the same thing. They saw an opportunity and they pounced.

Hunter Henry is nothing special at tight end and that is an understatement. Personally, I prefer to have a scorer at tight end. It is hard for me to look at my lineup now and see that I have three positions that could possibly get blanked (kicker, defense, and now tight end). If you have a top tier tight end your lineup already has an advantage over most teams. The drop-off after the top tier of tight ends is fast and steep. Hunter Henry does play for the Chargers and they are going to let Rivers throw the ball, so that is a plus. However, is Henry really that much safer than any other tight end in the free agent pool?

Breida is a back-up running back in an awful offense. Yes, Breida did work his way into a timeshare. However, I think everyone in football can agree that the 49ers will be starting Hyde every week (barring an injury). Which means, Hyde is the running back who will get the benefit of the doubt. Breida will have to go into every game and re-earn his "hot hand" for Shanahan to continue to give him the ball.

Overall, the trade was made out of need. Breida was never going to play in my starting lineup. I have Bell and McCoy, as well as Elijah McGuire (Jets running back) who will serve as my bye week filler. Sooooooo, Hunter Henry welcome to the last place team!!

Also, if you really think about it - when it was all said and done, this what was traded and received....

Traded: "Buck" Allen, Jacquizz Rodgers, Delanie Walker, Doug Baldwin, Jags DEF, Matt Breida (waiver wire pickup)

Received: Mike Wallace, Le'Veon Bell, Hunter Henry

There were a few players that were apart of two trades and never actually played a game for me. But from my original lineup/waiver wire pickup those were "my guys." When you put it in these terms: 

Traded: 2 backup running backs, a defense, a top 5 tight end, a number 1 receiver, and lead running back in a committee 

Received: number 1 receiver in Baltimore, the best player in fantasy football, and a serviceable tight end 

I think I did alright.



What a week, what a week. I pull off three trades and two of them in a matter of 10 minutes. Everybody in the league had their own stance on the trade and if their was a website that tracked out league - this would be the "Breaking News" lead article. Who doesn't want to be apart of a league where you have a few wild card managers that could possibly flip their lineup upside down at the drop of hat? Me personally (since I am that manager), I love it! Bring on the chaos!!!


Mwah




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